Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Did Nancy Pelosi just hand Trump the 2020 election?

It turns out that a recent poll shows that Donald Trump has gained among independents post the start of the House impeachment inquiry against him.  In September, Joe Biden had an 18 point lead with independents.  That has been cut down to 1.  Trump now leads Senator Elizabeth Warren 49 to 43.  In September she had a 4 point lead.  Trump leads Senator Sanders 48 to 44 percent.  In September Sanders had a 9 point lead.

What does this all mean?  Apparently attempting to impeach a president for seeking foreign assistance to investigate possible corruption by a former vice president isn't as popular with independents as first thought.  And as Rand Paul recently pointed out, democrats legislators wrote a letter in 2018 to Ukraine threatening to cut of aid if they didn't help investigate Donald Trump.

That or independents might side with Trump over a Syria pullout.  A poll back in January 2019 showed Democrats, Republicans and Independents equally supportive of keeping troops in Syria at about 60 percent with only a slight majority (51 percent) of younger voters being for a withdrawal.  However now that Trump has taken actual action, Republicans back the withdrawal with a solid 57 percent majority.  I don't currently have numbers on independents (will update when I get them) but maybe they are shifting their view on Syria as well.  The question opponents of a Syria draw down cannot answer is "if not now, then when?"

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